Prince Poniatowski and Kościuszko consider the outcome…
July 1792 CE
Tsarina Catherine demands that the King join the pro-Russian aristocratic faction, the Targowica Confederation; with his cabinet split, he gives in to her demand around 22–23 July, which effectively forces Prince Poniatowski to terminate military resistance.
The last military confrontation of the war will be fought on July 26 at Markuszów in Lublin province, where an enemy attack is repelled by Polish cavalry led by Poniatowski.
At the time King Poniatowski decides to sue for peace, the Polish army is still in good fighting condition, not suffering from any major defeat nor from lack of supplies.
King Poniatowski thinks that due to Russian numerical superiority defeat is nonetheless imminent, and more can be gained through negotiations with the Russians, with whom he hopes a new alliance can be formed.
Although subsequent events will prove him wrong, the question of whether this could have been foreseen, and prevented through continued military resistance, will be subject to much debate among historians.
The Polish military is widely dissatisfied with the ceasefire; Kościuszko, Prince Poniatowski and many others will criticize the King's decision and many, including Kościuszko, will resign their commission in the coming weeks.
Prince Poniatowski even considers rebelling against his uncle's orders, and even issues orders to bring the King to the army's camp by force if necessary, as is postulated by the more radical faction.
Ultimately he decides not to continue fighting against his uncle's will, and the order is rescinded at the last moment before the departure of the group charged with capturing the King.